The mutated Covid strain that has been spreading in the U.K. appears to be more infectious and will likely lead to higher levels of hospitalizations and deaths next year, a new report showed.

The variation is 56% more transmissible than other strains, as per the examination by the Center for Mathematical Modeling of Transmissible Diseases at the London School of Hygiene also Tropical Medicine. There’s no clear proof that it occurs in more or less severe disease.

The U.K. government had previously said the mutated variation appears to be as much as 70% more transmissible than other flowing strains. It also has nearly two dozen transformations that may affect proteins made by the Covid, Patrick Vallance, the U.K.’s. The chief scientific adviser said on Dec. 19.

That has raised concern that tests, treatments and vaccines that just started turning out may be less effective; however, Europe’s health regulator said the variation likely isn’t different enough from earlier ones to elude Pfizer Inc. also, BioNTech SE’s shot. Countries including Australia, Denmark and Singapore have likewise discovered the strain.

Measures like England’s public lockdown in November are unlikely to reduce the reproduction number – the new infections evaluated to stem from a single case – to less than one unless schools and universities are additionally closed, the report said. Likewise, vaccine rollouts might need to be accelerated to contain its spread, to a rate of 2 million people per week from the current pace of 200,000.

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